Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1292.105507 1481.153903 1695.558944 1958.223145 2273.362826 2641.850915 3109.067612
2025-05-25 1014.978801 1258.028298 1562.411967 1977.743643 2539.420586 3287.117445 4383.069124
2025-06-01 861.922026 1120.195447 1464.060061 1966.702697 2702.556350 3773.774252 5517.635407
2025-06-08 754.160613 1016.987174 1384.194200 1951.604934 2838.656183 4232.424704 6722.433280
2025-06-15 688.832630 959.401939 1353.895440 1994.800469 3059.387567 4857.749051 8377.717572
2025-06-22 610.686511 871.533096 1264.380481 1927.825495 3083.811891 5154.117152 9526.449623
2025-06-29 549.369596 800.930632 1190.780432 1872.374650 3112.725042 5457.885536 10783.037487
2025-07-06 496.157874 736.727537 1118.868140 1807.543885 3110.064535 5696.516950 11978.187460
2025-07-13 475.416016 721.458346 1124.004410 1876.562074 3369.009248 6520.453708 14867.871120
2025-07-20 449.024989 694.006235 1104.969613 1897.835069 3536.569460 7191.463171 17674.483516
2025-07-27 429.886566 676.600611 1100.924743 1945.988271 3768.127036 8071.060727 21517.271129
2025-08-03 411.371596 658.361392 1093.074722 1984.943667 3986.859393 8983.348988 25993.113667
2025-08-10 398.664160 650.308377 1105.112086 2071.007238 4344.466199 10410.637082 33395.587552
2025-08-17 379.047988 628.295971 1088.975647 2096.698180 4568.461488 11566.991643 40836.692673
2025-08-24 357.223369 600.148375 1057.721508 2084.218869 4693.485783 12478.540586 48109.931022
2025-08-31 337.209150 573.637347 1026.889098 2068.071338 4805.995522 13399.860027 56446.242980
2025-09-07 325.281421 561.383716 1023.365676 2114.489505 5101.714741 15072.173120 71008.526410
2025-09-14 303.315018 528.029829 973.192257 2042.511324 5043.560933 15453.204909 78304.273518
2025-09-21 284.413038 499.341058 930.307037 1982.949923 5011.114890 15931.185767 87084.494803
2025-09-28 266.242036 470.886441 885.576666 1913.352330 4935.080447 16216.782399 95042.983263
2025-10-05 261.301927 468.501790 896.697842 1987.446705 5329.827098 18675.386854 125959.349163
2025-10-12 252.604101 457.823582 888.595822 2010.293901 5565.041970 20572.196751 156861.219028
2025-10-19 246.552873 452.131619 891.070070 2062.026847 5914.602374 23244.629887 205283.395343